Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 9.801256 11.313521 12.937759 14.806852 16.892990 19.144374 21.752356
2025-09-07 7.687328 9.706358 12.032018 14.889048 18.283113 22.164487 26.915641
2025-09-14 6.376594 8.630842 11.369859 14.902522 19.293954 24.527092 31.184019
2025-09-21 5.507323 7.910938 10.966272 15.069147 20.361188 26.878913 35.425111
2025-09-28 4.772672 7.241175 10.510571 15.062329 21.127428 28.814290 39.159138
2025-10-05 4.320627 6.881293 10.397352 15.447876 22.366985 31.350574 43.705866
2025-10-12 3.905146 6.514246 10.221083 15.703057 23.407760 33.633995 47.976825
2025-10-19 3.503560 6.115284 9.950671 15.783282 24.181732 35.561248 51.815325
2025-10-26 3.031086 5.549979 9.379372 15.373247 24.220100 36.460200 54.266449
2025-11-02 2.654096 5.090016 8.918243 15.076075 24.377851 37.499045 56.911212
2025-11-09 2.322997 4.665473 8.469521 14.753571 24.460596 38.409557 59.379104
2025-11-16 2.042274 4.293015 8.067275 14.464763 24.560795 39.326245 61.860474
2025-11-23 1.759942 3.886499 7.577195 14.005849 24.381028 39.834494 63.788405
2025-11-30 1.603018 3.693079 7.428076 14.084741 25.030391 41.581616 67.566944
2025-12-07 1.453241 3.494304 7.250113 14.097617 25.565461 43.163569 71.136868
2025-12-14 1.340663 3.355365 7.164865 14.256798 26.334283 45.116810 75.307898
2025-12-21 1.217291 3.178195 6.993035 14.250284 26.823639 46.645632 78.871076
2025-12-28 1.152689 3.118412 7.034471 14.618659 27.945001 49.188767 84.045001
2026-01-04 1.078660 3.028462 7.009514 14.862515 28.861166 51.429741 88.805844
2026-01-11 0.992869 2.900543 6.898626 14.939187 29.489333 53.223589 92.910518
2026-01-18 0.868695 2.664567 6.549774 14.547348 29.282006 53.654025 94.873709
2026-01-25 0.768282 2.471074 6.269353 14.263416 29.243800 54.348197 97.260350
2026-02-01 0.676732 2.285488 5.987566 13.955333 29.141973 54.924505 99.461422